Shanghai SIPG Beijing Guoan betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Shanghai Port is a team on a "different level" compared to Beijing Guoan, which explains the favoritism given by betting houses to the home team. This is why Shanghai Port's odds for victory are around 1.30. Going "against" Shanghai Port, who have been the best team in this league and are playing at home, would indeed be imprudent. However, this Beijing Guoan side under Ricardo Soares has shown potential to be quite competitive in these types of matches. The way the Portuguese coach sets up his team for such encounters warrants at least considering the possibility of Beijing Guoan scoring a goal. It is on this basis that the "both teams to score" market seems fitting for this game.

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Preview
Shanghai SIPG and Guoan meet at Shanghai Stadium, in a match for the 19th round of the CSL. These teams have tied (2‑2) in the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 05‑04‑2024. The head‑to‑head history of the last 3 years favours the home team, since in the last 11 matches they won 5, tied 3 and lost 3. Shanghai SIPG registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

Analysis Shanghai SIPG

The home team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 48 points won, after 15 wins and 3 draws. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Zhejiang, by (3‑1). In the last match, they won in an away match against Henan Songshan Longmen, by (0‑1). This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in away matches; against 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. For the league, Shanghai SIPG won 22 points out of 24 possible points, after 7 wins and 1 draw in the last 8 home matches.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 11 wins in the last matches and they haven't lost any of the last 18 matches. In their home matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 1‑1 (3 out of 8 matches) and 0‑0 (3 out of 8 matches) and after the 90' 3‑1 (3 out of 8 matches). Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 8 of the last 8 for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 16 of the last 18 matches for the CSL, they have reached half‑time in front in 8 of those 16 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 14 of them.

The Shanghai Port team is motivated to set records with each passing match in the Chinese Super League. They have now won 13 consecutive games and increasingly stand out in the league, with Shanghai Shenhua as their true rival. Recently, Shanghai Port has shown a more "economical" approach in their last 5 matches. Their largest victories have been by a 2-goal margin, with 2 wins by the minimum margin. This was evident in their last match away at Henan, where they won 1-0. Despite scoring fewer goals, their continued success suggests improvements in their defensive strategy. In fact, Shanghai Port kept a clean sheet in 60% of their last 5 matches. 
 
In the upcoming 19th round, Shanghai Port will face Beijing Guoan, a team that was in good form but suffered a surprise defeat in the last round. Beijing Guoan has been a challenge for the home team, having won their last two visits to Shanghai Port's ground with scores of 2-1 and 1-0.

Confirmed Lineup: Junling Yan, Wei Zhen, Tyias Browning, Li Shuai, Shenchao Wang, Leo Cittadini, Jussa, Oscar, Matías Vargas, Gustavo, Wu Lei.
Coach: K. Muscat.

Analysis Guoan

The away team is currently in the 4th position of the league, with 34 points won, after 10 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Shandong Taishan, by (2‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Wuhan Three Towns, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 24 goals scored and 14 conceded; against 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 33 goals scored and 18 conceded. Their last away match for this competition ended in a loss by (2‑1) against Henan Songshan Longmen. In the last 9 away league matches Guoan has a record of 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 15 points out of 27 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (4 out of 9 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 6 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 18 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 17 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 7 of their 17 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

The Beijing Guoan team must still be pondering how their performance dipped in the last round, resulting in an unexpected loss to Wuhan Three Towns at their own home ground. It was a surprising setback following three consecutive victories, during which Ricardo Soares' team displayed convincing form. Just before that, Beijing Guoan had defeated Shandong Taishan with a 2-0 scoreline. Despite their mixed away performances not being outstanding, Beijing Guoan has proven highly competitive in tougher away fixtures. They secured notable wins such as a 1-0 victory against Tianjin Tiger and a 2-1 win over Zhejiang, along with draws against Shandong Taishan and Shanghai Shenhua (1-1).
 
Ricardo Soares has shown a knack for organizing his teams effectively, particularly when not favored, leveraging opponents' mistakes to increase the chances of success. This explains Beijing Guoan's recent away results, including losses to Changchun Yatai (3-2) and Henan (2-1), as well as a draw with Qingdao Hainiu (1-1). What these matches have in common is that Beijing Guoan were expected to dominate and take control of the game, something unlikely to happen in their upcoming visit to Shanghai Port.
 
The question now is whether Ricardo Soares' team can halt Shanghai Port's impressive winning streak.

Confirmed Lineup: Jiaqi Han, Yupeng He, Gang Wang, Michael Ngadeu, Gonçalo Rodrigues, Nicholas Yennaris, Zhang Xizhe, Fabio Abreu, Zhang Chengdong, Samuel Adegbenro, Lin Liangming.
Coach: S. Bilić.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Shanghai SIPG vs Guoan match, on 12 July 2024, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy UK, goes to: Both teams score? Yes ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Shanghai SIPG vs Guoan on 12 July 2024 will be played at Shanghai, Shanghai Stadium.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy UK, for the Shanghai SIPG Guoan match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Shanghai SIPG at with 90% of the tips.

 

CSL - 2024

  • 100% 240 / 240 Games

  • Home team wins 46.25%
  • Draws 22.92%
  • Away team wins 30.83%
  • Over 1.5 77.5%
  • Over 2.5 58.33%
  • Over 3.5 40.83%
  • Goals 750
  • Goals /match 3.13
  • Goals /match home 1.8
  • Goals /match away 1.33
  • Both teams score 56.25%
  • Goals after 80' 19.33%
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