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Once Caldas Independiente Medellín betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Once Caldas wants to score points, but they know that to achieve this, they cannot make mistakes. The visitors are aiming for at least a point, so they will defend strongly. This is likely to be a tight and well-studied match. We will bet on fewer than 2.5 goals in the game.
 
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Preview
Once Caldas and Medellín meet at Estadio Palogrande, in a match for the 12th round of the Primera A. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 5 head‑to‑heads they won 2, tied 2 and lost 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primera A, on 01‑10‑2023, they tied (2‑2). Juan David Cuesta (74' ) and Dayro Moreno (61' ) scored for Once Caldas and Dani Torres (65' ) and Ánderson Plata (78' ) for Medellín. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 1st and 16th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 10th best team in home matches and the 34th best in away matches.

Analysis Once Caldas

The home team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 26 points won, after 18 wins, 9 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Deportivo Cali, by (4‑1). In the last match, they won in an away match against Envigado, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually plays better at home, where they have won 16 points, against only 10 points in away matches. In the last 10 home league matches Once Caldas has a record of 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 21 points out of 30 possible. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 17 of their 36 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 4.

With only one defeat so far, Once Caldas has shown great consistency in their campaign. The team rarely drops points, especially when playing at home. With another great opportunity to keep adding points to the table, it is crucial that they maintain this level of performance in the match against Medellín.
 

Confirmed Lineup: James Aguirre, Alejandro García, Jaider Riquett, Juan Cuesta Santos, Jorge Cardona, Juan Patiño Paz, Mateo García, Lucas Ríos, Michael Barrios, Dayro Moreno, Luis Ángel Palacios Mena.
Coach: E. Lara.

Analysis Medellín

The away team is currently in the 16th position of the league, with 8 points won, after 9 wins, 10 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Rionegro Águilas, by (1‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Deportes Tolima, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 3 points in away matches and 5 at their stadium, with 14 goals scored and 13 conceded at home, against 14 goals scored and 27 conceded in away matches. In their last match, for the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, they got a home loss against Lanús by (5‑6) after a penalty shootout. In the last 10 away league matches Medellín has a record of 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 14 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 12 of the last 14 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 28 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 13 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 14 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 5 of their 14 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Medellín knows they will need to face many challenges in this round. It will not be an easy task to go up against the current Clausura leaders at this moment. Therefore, their level of focus must remain high. Any slip in their defensive system could jeopardise the desired result. Victory is the priority, but a draw may be seen as a positive outcome, given the circumstances.
 

Confirmed Lineup: Eder Chaux, Daniel Londono, Leyser Chaverra Rentería, Fainer Torijano, Jaime Alvarado Hoyos, Homer Martinez, Kener Valencia Chará, Francisco Chaverra, J. Fory, Luis Sandoval, Mender García.
Coach: D. González Giraldo.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Once Caldas vs Medellín match, on 28 September 2024, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy UK, goes to: Under 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Once Caldas vs Medellín on 28 September 2024 will be played at Manizales, Estadio Palogrande.

 

Primera A - 2024

  • 99% 403 / 406 Games

  • Home team wins 45.91%
  • Draws 26.8%
  • Away team wins 27.3%
  • Over 1.5 62.03%
  • Over 2.5 37.72%
  • Over 3.5 16.87%
  • Goals 872
  • Goals /match 2.16
  • Goals /match home 1.27
  • Goals /match away 0.89
  • Both teams score 42.68%
  • Goals after 80' 18.69%
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