Ajax II Almere City betting prediction



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This is the meeting between the 2nd worst defence and one of the best defences, including leader in clean sheets, in this Eerste Divisie 22/23. Even though in the last 3 head-to-head clashes between Jong Ajax and Almere more than 3.5 Goals have been recorded, this is a line that has been reached in only 36% of Jong Ajax's home matches and only 14% of Almere's away league matches. Taking that and also the visitors' solid defence into consideration, expect Less than 3.5 Goals in this match.
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Preview
Ajax and Almere meet at Sportpark De Toekomst, in a match for the 29th round of the Eerste Divisie. Jong Ajax got an away win by (2‑3), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 14‑10‑2022. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium couldn't be more balanced, as it shows 2 wins for each team in the last 4 head‑to‑heads. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, on 21‑02‑2022, for the Eerste Divisie, Almere City won by (1‑3). N. Unuvar (36' ) scored for Ajax and Tijmen Wildeboer (28' ) and Jeffry Puriel (11' and 54' ) for Almere. Almere registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

Analysis Ajax

The home team faces Almere, in a match for the 29 round, which had been delayed, after 7 wins, 10 draws and 12 losses in the league so far. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches Ajax has a record of 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 12 of the last 14 for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 15 of their 29 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 14 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 7 of their 20 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

Jong Ajax presents the 2nd worst defence of the Eerste Divisie 22/23 with 56 goals conceded in 29 rounds played. The team even suffered in the last 6 matches they played (and were 17 goals conceded, which generates an average of 2.8 goals conceded per game in this sequence). Offensively, however, it has also produced and presents a series of 6 matches in which both teams have scored and have registered more than 2.5 goals. As the home side, Both Teams have Scored in 8 of Jong Ajax's last 9 matches and have come away with Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of their last 4 matches. The average goals scored in Jong Ajax home matches this Eerste Divisie season is 3.3 goals per match, including 1.9 goals scored by Jong Ajax themselves and 1.4 goals scored by their visiting opponents. There was 93% recording of Over 0.5 Goals, 86% occurrence of Over 1.5 Goals, 64% occurrence of Over 2.5 Goals and 36% incidence of Over 3.5 Goals.

Confirmed Lineup: Tom Gerard de Graaff, Olivier Aertssen, Ar'jany Martha, Jorrel Hato, Silvano Cliff Robbie Vos, Kristian Hlynsson, Kian Fitz-Jim, Donny Warmerdam, Jaydon Amauri Banel, Mika Marcel Godts, Sontje Hansen.
Coach: J. Heitinga.

Analysis Almere

The away team plays against Ajax a match for the 29 round, which had been delayed, after 15 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in the league so far. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 22 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Almere has a record of 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so they have won 22 points out of 30 possible.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 4 wins in the last away matches. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑1 (5 out of 14 matches) and after the 90' 0‑1 (5 out of 14 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 9 of the last 14 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 28 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have only turned the score around in 3. In the last 14 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 6 of their 16 goals between minutes (16'‑30').

Almere is one of the clean sheet leaders in the Eerste Divisie 22/23 (alongside Zwolle and Heracles) with 11 games without conceding a goal. In this sequence of 4 victories as visitors, inclusive, the team has not conceded a goal. The last goal conceded away from home was on 06-01-2023, in the defeat by (3-2) to Zwolle. Almere have scored in their last 6 away league matches. The goal average of Almere's matches as visitors in this Eerste Divisie season is 2.2 goals per game, of which on average 1.1 goals scored by Almere themselves and 1.1 goals scored by their home opponents. Despite the low average number of goals in away matches, all of Almere's matches as visitors had more than 0.5 goals, but there were only 57% registrations of more than 1.5 goals, 36% occurrence of more than 2.5 goals and 14% occurrence of more than 3.5 goals. Considering also home matches, Almere scored in their last 3 matches, but in 4 of their last 5 matches there were less than 2,5 goals registered (in 3 of them including less than 1,5 goal). Left winger Faiz Mattoir is still missing for the coach Alex Pastoor due to injury.

Confirmed Lineup: Nordin Bakker, Damian van Bruggen, Theo Barbet, Manel Royo, Hamdi Akujobi, Álvaro Peña, Jorrit Smeets, José Pascual, Lance Duijvestijn, Kornelius Hansen, Jeredy Hilterman.
Coach: A. Pastoor.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Ajax vs Almere match, on 17 March 2023, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy UK, goes to: Under 3,5 goals ⇒ bet available on Bet365.

The Ajax vs Almere on 17 March 2023 will be played at Amsterdam, Sportpark De Toekomst.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy UK, for the Ajax Almere match, on the "match odds" market, was a draw at 1xBet with 50% of the tips.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2022/2023

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 46.58%
  • Draws 20.79%
  • Away team wins 32.63%
  • Over 1.5 79.74%
  • Over 2.5 59.47%
  • Over 3.5 35.79%
  • Goals 1166
  • Goals /match 3.07
  • Goals /match home 1.76
  • Goals /match away 1.31
  • Both teams score 57.37%
  • Goals after 80' 17.24%
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