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Ajax II MVV betting prediction
 Ajax |
|  MVV |
Betting suggestion:
This is a crucial matchup for MVV, who enters the game riding a wave of 3 consecutive victories in the 2023/2024 Eerste Divisie. They now have the opportunity to enter the promotion playoff zone with another win. Jong Ajax, on the other hand, has failed to win in their last 2 home games and despite dominating possession, they have one of the worst defenses in the competition. Jong Ajax has conceded goals in their last 4 home matches, while MVV has scored in their last 8 games, including the last 3 away matches. In their previous encounter on 01-09-2023, during the 4th round of this season, MVV won 2-1 at their home stadium. Considering these factors, we will bet on MVV with a +0.5 Asian Handicap, as we anticipate good chances for the visitors to earn points in this matchup.
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Preview
Ajax and MVV meet at Sportpark De Toekomst, in a match for the 25th round of the Eerste Divisie. MVV Maastricht got a home win by (2‑1), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 01‑09‑2023. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 3 and tied 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Eerste Divisie, on 20‑02‑2023, Jong Ajax won by (4‑2). Francisco Conceição (8' ), Kian Fitz‑Jim (5' ), J. Banel (90' ) and M. Godts (51' ) scored for Ajax and Sven Blummel (31' ) and Jarne Steuckers (65' ) for MVV. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.
Analysis Ajax
After 6 wins, 9 draws and 9 losses, the home team is in the 15th position, havinf won 24 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Jong Utrecht by (0‑1), after in the previous match they have tied (2‑2) at home, against FC Dordrecht. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 35 conceded; against 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 32 goals scored and 20 conceded. For the league, Ajax won 19 points out of 30 possible points, after 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in the last 10 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 24 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have only turned the score around in 2.
Jong Ajax enters this match motivated by their first away victory and now seeks to return to winning ways at home, having only gathered 1 point in their last 2 home games. Before the start of this 25th round of the 2023/2024 Eerste Divisie, Jong Ajax had the third-worst defense in the league, conceding 44 goals in 24 matches. This defensive vulnerability can be attributed, among other reasons, to their low intensity in pressing, reflected in their status as the second-least fouling team, committing an average of 9.2 fouls per game. Interestingly, the team boasts the second-highest average ball possession with 55% per match. Coach Dave Vos has no absentees and may even field the same starting lineup, deploying a 4-2-3-1 formation, with special attention to defender Olivier Aertssen, who averages 1.9 tackles per game and has been on the field for all 5 matches in which Jong Ajax kept a clean sheet this season.
Confirmed Lineup: Tom Gerard de Graaff, Ahmetcan Kaplan, Anton Gaaei, Ar'jany Martha, Olivier Aertssen, Silvano Cliff Robbie Vos, Sivert Mannsverk, Kian Fitz-Jim, Julian Rijkhoff, David Kalokoh, Jaydon Amauri Banel.
Coach: J. Heitinga.
Analysis MVV
The away team is currently in the 9th position of the league, with 35 points won, after 10 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against FC Eindhoven, by (0‑3). In the last match, they won in a home match against Telstar, by (6‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 28 goals scored and 25 conceded; against 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 24 goals scored and 22 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches MVV has a record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses, so they have won 13 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 12 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 24 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 4 away matches for this competition there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 6 of their 7 goals between minutes (76'‑90'); they have conceded 3 of their 6 goals between minutes (0'‑15').
MVV comes into this match riding a wave of 3 consecutive victories in the 2023/2024 Eerste Divisie. Another win would propel the club into the playoff promotion zone. The team has scored an impressive 12 goals during this winning streak and has found the back of the net in every game over the last 8 rounds. Interestingly, MVV performs better away from home, ranking as the 7th best away team compared to the 13th best home team in the league. However, there is room for improvement in their defensive application, as MVV ranks as the team with the fewest tackles in the league, averaging only 13.6 tackles per game. Coach Maurice Verberne has a full squad to choose from and may stick with the same lineup, deploying a 4-2-3-1 formation, with midfielder Bryan Smeets being a standout performer with 5 goals and 2 assists in the last 3 matches.
Confirmed Lineup: Romain Matthys, Tim Zeegers, Leroy Labylle, Wout Coomans, Ozgur Aktas, Nicky Souren, Marko Kleinen, Bryan Smeets, Mart Remans, D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario, Ferre Slegers.
Coach: K. Wels.
Frequently asked questions
👉 Which is the recommended bet for the Ajax MVV match?
The tip and bet suggestion for the Ajax vs MVV match, on 12 February 2024, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy UK, goes to: Asian Handicap, MVV +0.5 ⇒ bet available on 1xbet.
👉 In which stadium will the Ajax MVV be played?
The Ajax vs MVV on 12 February 2024 will be played at Amsterdam, Sportpark De Toekomst.
👉 Which is the most voted bet for this match?
The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy UK, for the Ajax MVV match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by MVV at with 43% of the tips.
Eerste Divisie
Eerste Divisie - 2023/2024
- 100% 379 / 380 Games
- Home team wins 45.65%
- Draws 25.07%
- Away team wins 29.29%
- Over 1.5 82.32%
- Over 2.5 60.16%
- Over 3.5 35.36%
- Goals 1155
- Goals /match 3.05
- Goals /match home 1.7
- Goals /match away 1.35
- Both teams score 60.16%
- Goals after 80' 17.23%
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