Ajax II Telstar betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This match will feature Jong Ajax, the second-worst home team in the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025, with the worst attack but also the second-best home defence in the league, against Telstar, which stands out for having the third-best defence in the competition and the second-most clean sheets. We will bet on Over 1.0 Goals in the First Half because Jong Ajax has scored all of its home goals in the first half, and Telstar has scored more goals away from home in the first half than in the second. It is important to note that we will lose the bet only if the first 45 minutes end with no goals, and we will receive a full refund if exactly 1 goal is scored in the first half.
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Preview
Ajax and Telstar meet at Sportpark De Toekomst, in a match for the 16th round of the Eerste Divisie. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium couldn't be more balanced, as it shows 2 draws and 2 wins for each team in the last 6 head‑to‑heads. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, on 09‑07‑2024, for the Club Friendlies, Jong Ajax won by (5‑1). The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 16th and 11th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 19th best team in home matches and the 5th best in away matches.

Analysis Ajax

After 2 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses, the home team is in the 16th position, havinf won 12 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against FC Emmen by (4‑2), after in the previous match they have lost (0‑1) at home, against VVV‑Venlo. Interestingly enough, this is a team that has had better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 9 points in away matches and only 3 at their stadium. For the league, Ajax won 3 points out of 21 possible points, after 3 draws and 4 losses in the last 7 home matches.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 7 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 5 of their 14 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.

Jong Ajax is a reserve team that plays in the Eerste Divisie mainly to give experience to young players being prepared to join Ajax's first-team squad for the Eredivisie and other elite competitions. Nevertheless, it is embarrassing for the club to currently be the second-worst home team in the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025, with only a 14% success rate (3 points from 7 home games). Even worse, Jong Ajax has the worst home attack (just 2 goals scored in total at home, averaging 0.2 goals per game). To compensate, they have at least the second-best home defence (6 goals conceded, or 0.8 goals per match at home). Coach Frank Peereboom's line-ups are always uncertain as they depend on the daily plan for first-team players, but the manager has no known absences and may repeat the starting line-up, based on the 4-3-3 tactical system. Key players include English goalkeeper Charlie Setford, the second-most prolific goalkeeper in the league (averaging 5.7 saves per match), and right winger Jaydon Banel, the second-highest shooter in the league (averaging 4 shots per game).

Confirmed Lineup: Diant Ramaj, Precious Joel Uche-Chukwu Ugwu, Lucas Jetten, Diyae-Edinne Jermoumi, Dies Janse, Sean Steur, Mark Thomas Willem Verkuijl, Nassef Chourak, Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu, Kayden Wolff, Jan Faberski.
Coach: J. Heitinga.

Analysis Telstar

The away team is currently in the 11th position of the league, with 19 points won, after 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Roda JC Kerkrade, by (1‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against VVV‑Venlo, by (4‑0). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 12 points in away matches and 7 at their stadium, with 12 goals scored and 7 goals conceded at home, against 11 goals scored and 9 goals conceded in away matches. In the last 8 away league matches Telstar has a record of 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 12 points out of 24 possible. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑1 (5 out of 8 matches) and after the 90' 1‑1 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 6 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 15 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 10 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 6 of their 16 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Telstar is defending its position within the playoff qualification zone and relies on the third-best defence in the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025 (16 goals conceded in 15 matches), which has placed them second in the clean sheet ranking (the team has kept 6 clean sheets). Coach Anthony Correia has no known absences and may repeat the previous starting line-up, based on a 3-4-3 tactical system. Key players include forward Zakaria Eddahchouri, the league's top scorer (10 goals in 15 appearances), the highest finisher (averaging 4.4 shots per match), and also the best shooter (averaging 1.7 shots on target per game). Goalkeeper Ronald Koeman Jr., who is second in the clean sheet ranking (keeping a clean sheet in 6 of the 15 games he has played), is another crucial player for Telstar.

Confirmed Lineup: Ronald Koeman Jr, Danny Bakker, Jeff Hardeveld, Mitch Apau, T. Noslin, S. Dirks, Nils Rossen, Guus Offerhaus, Remi van Ekeris, Zakaria Eddahchouri, Youssef El Kachati.
Coach: A. Jonker.

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NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.
Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Ajax vs Telstar match, on 22 November 2024, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy UK, goes to: Over 1.0 Asian in HT ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Ajax vs Telstar on 22 November 2024 will be played at Amsterdam, Sportpark De Toekomst.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 88% 335 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 43.88%
  • Draws 24.18%
  • Away team wins 31.94%
  • Over 1.5 80.6%
  • Over 2.5 59.4%
  • Over 3.5 37.01%
  • Goals 998
  • Goals /match 2.98
  • Goals /match home 1.67
  • Goals /match away 1.31
  • Both teams score 53.73%
  • Goals after 80' 18.34%
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