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De Graafschap PSV II betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

De Graafschap has the best attack in the league and will rely on it to seek a victory that could even put them at the top of the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie, should a highly unlikely combination of results occur. However, it seems to us that the market is overestimating the number of goals projected for this match. Therefore, we will bet on "Under 4 Asian Goals" as we also take into account the fact that 4 out of 5 of Jong PSV's away games have had 3 goals or fewer.
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Preview
De Graafschap and PSV II meet at Stadion De Vijverberg, in a match for the 11th round of the Eerste Divisie. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 22‑01‑2024, in a match for the Eerste Divisie, De Graafschap won by (4‑2). The goals of the match were scored by Mimoun Mahi (90' ), Tristan van Gilst (15' and 38' ) and Xandro Schenk (5' ), for De Graafschap, and by Tai Abed (24' ) and Dantaye Gilbert (85' ), for PSV II. Although this is a match between 4th and 11th of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 3rd best in home matches and the 3rd best in away matches.

Analysis De Graafschap

De Graafschap is currently in 4th place, with 16 points earned, after 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they drew away to FC Den Bosch (2‑2). In the last match, they also drew away to Telstar (2‑2). This is a stronger team at home, where they earned 10 points, compared to only 5 in their away games. In the league, De Graafschap has earned 10 points out of a possible 15, after 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 home matches. Defensive solidity has not been their strong point, as they have conceded goals in 9 of their last 10 games, but their attack has been consistent, scoring at least one goal in each of the last 10 games in this competition. There is one notable period in the last 8 home games across all competitions: they scored 6 of their 17 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.
 
The home team is unbeaten in 4 rounds of this 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie, but with only 1 win and 3 draws during this period. A win could even take De Graafschap to the top of the table if combined with slip-ups from the top three teams in the round. The team's great asset is the best attack in the league, having already scored 24 goals. This is due to being the second-best finisher in the competition, with an average of 6.3 shots on goal per round. At home, De Graafschap stands out for having the third-best record and the second-best home attack, with 13 goals scored in their 5 matches at their stadium. Defensively, the team is characterized by allowing their opponents to play, as they commit the fewest fouls in the league, with an average of 9.5 fouls per match. Coach Jan Vreman continues to depend on the Medical Department to determine his starting lineup, usually based on the 4-2-3-1 tactical system. Left-back Levi Schoppema was injured in the closing minutes of the first half of the last match. If he is ruled out by the medical staff, Kaya Symons is likely to replace him again. In addition to this case, midfielder Stan Wevers has not played since suffering an injury in the 3rd round, on 23-08-2024. As a result, Anass Najah has established himself as a starter and even became the team captain. The standout player for De Graafschap has been Moroccan left-winger Ibrahim El Kadiri, who has scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist in 10 appearances.

Confirmed Lineup: Joshua Smits, Rio Hillen, Levi Schoppema, Jeffrey Fortes, Rowan Besselink, Anass Najah, Donny Warmerdam, Ralf Seuntjens, Jesse van de Haar, Ibrahim El Kadiri, Tristan van Gilst.
Coach: R. Robbemond.

Analysis PSV II

The away team is currently in the 11th position of the league, with 11 points won, after 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Helmond Sport, by (1‑3). In the last match, they lost in an away match against FC Dordrecht, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 9 points in away matches and 2 at their stadium, with 5 goals scored and 9 goals conceded at home, against 9 goals scored and 5 goals conceded in away matches. In the last 5 away league matches PSV II has a record of 3 wins and 2 losses, so they have won 9 points out of 15 possible. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 9 matches for this competition.

Jong PSV is a reserve team competing in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie solely to provide experience to players who will eventually be used in PSV Eindhoven's main squad in the Eredivisie. Nonetheless, it is concerning that the team has lost its last two games, and a reaction is expected. The team is characterized by allowing their opponents to play freely, being the third least penalized team in the league with an average of 10.6 fouls committed per round. Coach Alfons Groenendijk's lineup is always a mystery, as it varies depending on the usage of players in PSV’s main squad. However, one key absence is certain: Niek Schiks, the second goalkeeper with the most saves in the league, averaging 6.5 saves per match, will serve the first of his automatic suspension after receiving a straight red card early in the last match for committing a foul on a clear goal-scoring opportunity. Tijn Smolenaars is expected to replace him again.

Confirmed Lineup: Tijn Smolenaars, Wessel Kuhn, Adamo Nagalo, Michael Bresser, Jevon Simons, Tai Abed, Tim van den Heuvel, Enzo Geerts, Isaac Babadi, Jesper Uneken, Marcus Younis.
Coach: A. Groenendijk.

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NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.
Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the De Graafschap vs PSV II match, on 18 October 2024, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy UK, goes to: Handicap, Under 4 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The De Graafschap vs PSV II on 18 October 2024 will be played at Doetinchem, Stadion De Vijverberg.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 63% 238 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 43.28%
  • Draws 24.79%
  • Away team wins 31.93%
  • Over 1.5 79.83%
  • Over 2.5 59.24%
  • Over 3.5 38.24%
  • Goals 713
  • Goals /match 3
  • Goals /match home 1.64
  • Goals /match away 1.35
  • Both teams score 54.2%
  • Goals after 80' 18.23%
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