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Den Bosch Excelsior betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Den Bosch and Excelsior come into this match in contrasting form, making it an intriguing encounter due to the offensive numbers of both teams. Den Bosch has the third-best home attack, while Excelsior boasts the second-best overall attack in the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025. The difference, however, lies in defense, where Den Bosch has the second-best defense in the league and also the second-best home defense. As a result, the team is still unbeaten at home this season. Therefore, we will bet on the Double Chance for the home side, meaning a win or a draw for Den Bosch. This bet has been successful in every Den Bosch home game, and despite Excelsior being league leaders, they have dropped points in 4 of the 7 away games they have played.
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Preview
Den Bosch and Excelsior meet at Stadion De Vliert, in a match for the 16th round of the Eerste Divisie. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 3 head‑to‑heads they won 2 and tied 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the KNVB Beker, on 01‑11‑2023, Excelsior only reached the win by (1‑2), after extended time. Jaron Vicario (90' ) scored for Den Bosch and Julian Baas (96' ) and Siebe Horemans (37' ) for Excelsior. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 5th and 1st of the league table, it’s also a match between the 4th best team in home matches and the 6th best in away matches.

Analysis Den Bosch

After 7 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, the home team is in the 5th position, havinf won 25 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against TOP Oss by (1‑0), after in the previous match they have tied (1‑1) at home, against Roda JC Kerkrade. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 10 points in away matches, with 9 goals scored and 8 conceded, against 15 points won at their stadium, with 17 goals scored and 6 conceded.

They haven’t lost any of the last 7 home matches for this competition. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 14 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Den Bosch is going through its worst phase of the season after being eliminated from the KNVB Beker and earning only 1 point from the last 2 games in the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025. To bounce back, the team relies on the third-best home attack (an average of 2.4 goals scored per game at home) and the second-best home defense (an average of 0.8 goals conceded per game at their stadium), with a total of 17 goals scored and 6 goals conceded in 7 matches. Overall, Den Bosch has the second-best defense in the league, conceding only 14 goals in 14 rounds. The fact that they are the second-best team in terms of tackles (an average of 19.3 tackles per match) contributes significantly to their defensive success. The starting lineup, based on a 4-3-3 formation, will have to be changed as right-back Rik Mulders (the league's top tackler, averaging 3.8 tackles per game) will be unavailable after receiving a direct red card in the previous match. Judging by the test conducted in a recent friendly against Bochum (Germany), Sheddy Barglan is expected to replace him at right-back. Right-winger Byron Burgering is Den Bosch's standout individual player, ranking as the third-highest goal scorer in the competition (with an average of 3.6 shots per game).

Confirmed Lineup: Mees Bakker, Victor van den Bogert, Stan Hendrikx, Nick de Groot, Sheddy Barglan, Mees Laros, Mikuláš Bakaľa, Thijs van Leeuwen, Byron Burgering, Danny Verbeek, V. Kotzebue.
Coach: D. Nascimento.

Analysis Excelsior

The away team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 29 points won, after 9 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Helmond Sport, by (0‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against FC Eindhoven, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 11 points in away matches and 18 at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 8 conceded at home, against 13 goals scored and 10 conceded in away matches. In the last 7 away league matches Excelsior has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 21 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 32 of the last 48 matches have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 14 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times but have turned the score around in 2.

Excelsior is enjoying its best phase of the season, having won 3 consecutive matches, including qualification in the KNVB Beker, and the 2 recent victories that have propelled them to the top of the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025. The team's strength lies in its attack, the second-best in the league (an average of 2.2 goals scored per round, with 32 goals in 14 matches). This high goal tally is a result of the second-highest number of shots in the league (16.9 shots per game). Head coach Ruben den Uil will need to make changes to his starting lineup, based on a 4-2-3-1 formation, as center-back Kik Pierie was sent off in the last match after receiving two yellow cards for fouls committed. It is expected that Serano Seymor will be his replacement. Additionally, attacking midfielder Zach Booth has been absent since suffering an injury in round 12, on October 26, 2024. The standout players for Excelsior are midfielder Noah Naujoks (second in the league for assists, with 5 assists in 14 appearances) and, especially, Swedish striker Richie Omorowa (second-top scorer in the league, with 9 goals in 13 appearances).

Confirmed Lineup: Calvin Raatsie, Ilias Bronkhorst, Casper Widell, Django Warmerdam, Arthur Zagre, Noah Naujoks, Cedric Hatenboer, Lennard Hartjes, Richie Omorowa, Derensili Sanches Fernandes, Jacky Donkor.
Coach: M. Dijkhuizen.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Den Bosch vs Excelsior match, on 22 November 2024, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy UK, goes to: Double chance, Den Bosch or Draw ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Den Bosch vs Excelsior on 22 November 2024 will be played at Den Bosch, Stadion De Vliert.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 81% 308 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 43.51%
  • Draws 23.38%
  • Away team wins 33.12%
  • Over 1.5 80.19%
  • Over 2.5 59.09%
  • Over 3.5 37.01%
  • Goals 918
  • Goals /match 2.98
  • Goals /match home 1.65
  • Goals /match away 1.33
  • Both teams score 53.57%
  • Goals after 80' 17.97%
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