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Excelsior Den Bosch betting prediction


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Betting suggestion:

This will be an intriguing clash between teams known for their strong defensive performances, despite both being in poor form in the league. Excelsior has the second-best defence in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie and is also the second-highest shooting team offensively. Meanwhile, Den Bosch boasts the second-best away defence and ranks third in the clean sheet standings. Taking this into account, we will bet on Under 3 Asian Goals, a selection that has only lost in six of the 14 matches played by Excelsior at home and, more importantly, in just two of the 14 games played by Den Bosch away from home.
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Preview
Excelsior and Den Bosch meet at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, in a match for the 31th round of the Eerste Divisie. Excelsior got an away win by (0‑3), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 22‑11‑2024. The recent head‑to‑head record favours the home team, since they have a record of 3 wins and 1 draw in the last 4 matches.

Analysis Excelsior

The home team is currently in the 5th position of the league, with 50 points won, after 14 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Roda JC Kerkrade, by (1‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against De Graafschap, by (2‑1). In the last 10 home league matches Excelsior has a record of 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 18 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 10 of their 29 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 2.

Excelsior has won just one of their last six matches in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie (two draws and three defeats alongside their sole victory in this period), which has dropped them to fifth place—their lowest position since Matchday 3 of the season. A win in this fixture would guarantee at least a rise to fourth place. However, it is worth noting that the team has not won any of their last three home matches (two recent draws and a prior defeat). Excelsior boasts the second-best defence in the league, having conceded 32 goals in 29 rounds (an average of 1.1 goals per game), while offensively, they stand out as the second-highest shooting team in the competition, averaging 16.1 shots per match. Manager Ruben den Uil may field the same starting lineup as in the previous match, provided that centre-back Kik Pierie is fit after being forced off in the second half of the last game. If he is ruled out, Django Warmerdam is expected to replace him again. Additionally, midfielders Xander Blomme and Lennard Hartjes remain sidelined through injury. Excelsior’s key player is Calvin Raatsie, the third-least-beaten goalkeeper in the league (28 goals conceded in 27 appearances) and the third-ranked keeper in terms of clean sheets, having kept ten shutouts.

Confirmed Lineup: Calvin Raatsie, Django Warmerdam, Casper Widell, Ilias Bronkhorst, Arthur Zagre, Joshua Eijgenraam, M. Tielemans, Lance Duijvestijn, Richie Omorowa, Jacky Donkor, Seydou Fini.
Coach: M. Dijkhuizen.

Analysis Den Bosch

The away team is currently in the 8th position of the league, with 43 points won, after 12 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against ADO Den Haag, by (2‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against SC Cambuur, by (0‑2). In the last 10 away league matches Den Bosch has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 30 possible. In 29 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Den Bosch is in terrible form, having recorded one draw and four defeats in their last five matches. If they fail to win this fixture, they could drop out of the promotion play-off spots for the first time since the opening round of the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie. Interestingly, they have the second-best away defence in the league, conceding just 17 goals in 14 matches (an average of 1.2 goals per game). However, despite this, they have failed to win any of their last four away games (one draw and three defeats), scoring only once in that period. Overall, Den Bosch ranks third in the clean sheet standings, having kept 11 shutouts in 29 rounds. Manager Ulrich Landvreugd is expected to maintain his 4-3-3 tactical setup with the same starting XI from the previous match, as the squad’s absentees remain unchanged. Forwards Konstantinos Doumtsios and Sebastian Karlsson Grach are still sidelined due to injuries sustained in February and January, respectively. Den Bosch’s key player is right winger Byron Burgering, who has scored nine goals and provided seven assists in 29 appearances. However, he has failed to contribute directly to a goal in his last five matches.

Confirmed Lineup: P. van de Merbel, Nick de Groot, Stan Maas, Stan Hendrikx, Victor van den Bogert, Mees Laros, Thijs van Leeuwen, Markus Soomets, Kévin Monzialo, Byron Burgering, Danzell Gravenberch.
Coach: D. Nascimento.

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NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.
Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Excelsior vs Den Bosch match, on 10 March 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy UK, goes to: Handicap, Under 3 goals ⇒ bet available on Betfair.

The Excelsior vs Den Bosch on 10 March 2025 will be played at Rotterdam, Van Donge & De Roo Stadion.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 83% 314 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 43.63%
  • Draws 23.25%
  • Away team wins 33.12%
  • Over 1.5 80.25%
  • Over 2.5 59.55%
  • Over 3.5 37.26%
  • Goals 939
  • Goals /match 2.99
  • Goals /match home 1.66
  • Goals /match away 1.33
  • Both teams score 53.82%
  • Goals after 80' 18.1%
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