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Heracles Almere City betting prediction


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This is the duel between the best attack and the best defence in the Eerste Divisie 22/23. While Heracles usually play matches with more goals, especially at home, where they average 3.6 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per match, Almere usually play matches with fewer goals due to their defensive solidity, so they usually score 1.2 goals and concede 1 goal per game as visitors. In the last head-to-head match, on 28-10-2022, Almere won by (3-2) at home. Considering this recent history and especially the offensive numbers of the teams, and especially of Heracles, we expect a game with More than 2.5 Goals, as the last meeting and also 80% of Heracles' matches at home this league season.
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Preview
Heracles and Almere face at Polman Stadion, in a match for the 31th round of the Eerste Divisie. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 28‑10‑2022, Almere City got a home win by (3‑2). Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis Heracles

The home team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 63 points won, after 21 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against TOP Oss, by (1‑5). In the last match, they won in a home match against FC Den Bosch, by (3‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 27 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 50 goals scored and 17 conceded. For the league, Heracles won 25 points out of 30 possible points, after 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 10 home matches. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 12 of the last 15 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 9 of their 30 matches for this competition, but have been able to turn the score around in 4.

Heracles comes in a sequence of 5 victories, 7 games unbeaten and 9 games scoring goals. It has the best attack of the Eerste Divisie 22/23, with 86 goals scored in 30 rounds and is owner of the best campaign among the hosts of the competition, so much so that in the last 5 games in their stadium, they won 4 and 1 draw. Heracles is the team that makes the most tackles in the championship, with a rate of 20.3 tackles made per match. Offensively, it is the second team that completes the most shots, with an average of 15.2 shots and 6.5 shots on goal per game. There are 11 clean sheets added by Heracles, third best mark in the league, and the last time the team did not concede a goal was on 10-03-2023, in a 2-0 home win against Jong AZ. Heracles' home average in this league season is 4.6 goals per game, with 3.6 goals scored by Heracles themselves, and 1 goal scored by visiting opponents. There was a 100% occurrence of Over 1.5 Goals, an 80% occurrence of Over 2.5 Goals, a 60% incidence of Over 3.5 Goals and a 33% record of Over 4.5 Goals. Heracles' away games also included over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches. The midfield duo Emil Hansson and Nikolai Laursen contribute a lot to the team offensively. Emil Hansson is the player who has directly participated most in goals in the league, with 15 goals and 17 assists in 30 rounds. Nikolai Laursen is 3rd in the ranking, with 15 goals and 8 assists in 28 games played by him. In defence, Michael Brouwer stands out for having gone 11 games without conceding a goal, ranking 2nd in clean sheets, tied with Nordin Bakker, goalkeeper of Almere.
 

Confirmed Lineup: Michael Brouwer, Marco Rente, Justin Hoogma, Ruben Roosken, Sava-Arangel Cestic, Thomas Bruns, Anas Ouahim, Lucas Schoofs, Samuel Armenteros, Nikolai Laursen, Ismail Azzaoui.
Coach: E. van de Looi.

Analysis Almere

The away team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 52 points won, after 16 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against VVV‑Venlo, by (1‑3). In the last match, they won in an away match against Jong Ajax, by (0‑2). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 15 conceded; against 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 22 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Almere has a record of 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so they have won 22 points out of 30 possible.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 5 wins in the last away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑1 (6 out of 15 matches). Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 3 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 10 of the last 15 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 29 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have only turned the score around in 3.

In the 5 consecutive victories away from home, Almere left the field without conceding a goal. This makes them, along with Zwolle, the record team for clean sheets, with 12 games without conceding a goal. Almere is also tied with Zwolle in the rankings of best defense of the Eerste Divisie (with 32 goals conceded in 30 rounds) and best away defense (with 15 goals conceded in 15 away games). Offensively, the team has scored in the last 7 away matches. Considering also home games, Almere scored goals in the last 4 rounds and conceded only 1 goal in the last 6 games, presenting 5 clean sheets and also 5 matches in which less than 2.5 goals were registered in this period. The average goals in Almere's away games in this league season is 2.2 goals per match, of which 1.2 goals were scored by Almere themselves and 1 goal was scored by their home opponents. There was 100% occurrence of Over 0.5 Goals, 60% incidence of Over 1.5 Goals, 33% record of Over 2.5 Goals and 13% occurrence of both Over 3.5 and Over 4.5 Goals. Almere is a strong marking team, so much so that they are the 3rd most fouled team in the championship, with an average of 12.2 fouls committed per game. Nordin Bakker is the 2nd goalkeeper with the fewest goals conceded, with an average of 1.1 goals per game, and also the 2nd best in clean sheets (11 games without conceding goals, equal to Michael Brouwer, goalkeeper of Heracles). Left winger Faiz Mattoir is still missing John Lammers' team due to an injury suffered on 09-09-2022.
 
 

Confirmed Lineup: Nordin Bakker, Theo Barbet, Manel Royo, Hamdi Akujobi, Damian van Bruggen, Stije Resink, Álvaro Peña, José Pascual, Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp, Kornelius Hansen, Anthony Limbombe.
Coach: A. Pastoor.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Heracles vs Almere match, on 31 March 2023, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy UK, goes to: Over 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on Betfair.

The Heracles vs Almere on 31 March 2023 will be played at Almelo, Polman Stadion.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy UK, for the Heracles Almere match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Heracles at Betfair with 92% of the tips.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2022/2023

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 46.58%
  • Draws 20.79%
  • Away team wins 32.63%
  • Over 1.5 79.74%
  • Over 2.5 59.47%
  • Over 3.5 35.79%
  • Goals 1166
  • Goals /match 3.07
  • Goals /match home 1.76
  • Goals /match away 1.31
  • Both teams score 57.37%
  • Goals after 80' 17.24%
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