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Real Madrid Villarreal betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match is that both teams will score at least one goal. A tightly controlled game is expected from the hosts, meaning Real Madrid will look to bring a lot of intensity to the field. However, the Merengues have been experiencing some issues in their defensive line, having conceded goals in their last five official matches. It’s worth noting that the “Both Teams to Score – Yes” market has been a winner in all of Villarreal's games played in La Liga this season.
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Preview
Real Madrid and Villarreal face at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, in a match for the 9th round of the Primera División. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history indicates total balance between these two teams, since there is a record of 1 draw and 1 win for each team in the last 3 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium was on 17‑12‑2023, in a match for the Primera División, Real Madrid won by (4‑1). The goals of the match were scored by Rodrygo (37' ), Luka Modric (68' ), Jude Bellingham (25' ) and Brahim Díaz (64' ), for Real Madrid, and by José Luis Morales (54' ), for Villarreal. The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Real Madrid presents significant differences between home and away results.

Analysis Real Madrid

After 5 wins and 3 draws, the home team is in the 2nd position, havinf won 18 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Atlético Madrid by (1‑1), after in the previous match they have won (3‑2) at home, against Deportivo Alavés. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses in away matches; against 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss at their stadium. In their last match, for the UEFA Champions League, they got an away loss against LOSC Lille by (1‑0).

In this competition, they have a sequence of 4 wins in the last home matches and they haven't lost any of the last 8 matches. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 8 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 21 of the last 31 have ended with Over 2,5 goals. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 6 of the last 8 matches for the Primera División, they have reached half‑time in front in 2 of those 6 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 4 of them. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 6 of their 15 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

Real Madrid comes into this round after a 1-0 defeat in their trip to Lille for a Champions League match. In their last La Liga game, the hosts drew 1-1 against Atlético de Madrid. Under the management of Carlo Ancelotti, the team typically lines up in a 4-3-3 tactical system, focusing on offensive transitions and channeling attacks through the flanks. Notably, the three key players in attack will be Vinícius Júnior, Kylian Mbappé, and Rodrygo. In midfield, Jude Bellingham, Federico Valverde, and Aurélien Tchouaméni are likely to play, providing a balance between defense and attack. Absent from this match will be Thibaut Courtois, David Alaba, Dani Ceballos, and Brahim Díaz, all dealing with physical issues.

Confirmed Lineup: Andriy Lunin, Antonio Rüdiger, Carvajal, Ferland Mendy, Aurelien Tchouameni, Jude Bellingham, Federico Valverde, Eduardo Camavinga, Luka Modrić, Vinícius Júnior, Kylian Mbappé.
Coach: C. Ancelotti.

Analysis Villarreal

The away team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 17 points won, after 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Espanyol, by (1‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Las Palmas, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 24 conceded; against 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 33 goals scored and 25 conceded. In the last 4 away league matches Villarreal has a record of 3 wins and 1 draw, so they have won 10 points out of 12 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 4 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 8 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 8 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 27 of the last 29 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 8 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times but have turned the score around in 2.

Villarreal comes into this match motivated after a 3-1 victory against Las Palmas, with goals scored by Nicolas Pépé, Thierno Barry, and Álex Baena. The visiting team typically lines up in a 4-4-2 tactical system, focusing on quick transitions, especially down the flanks. For this match, the key players are expected to be Nicolas Pépé and Thierno Barry in attack. The responsibility for delivering the final pass will fall to Dani Parejo, a player with remarkable vision who can create good goal-scoring opportunities. Coach Marcelino Toral will have all his players available for selection.

Confirmed Lineup: Diego Conde, Logan Costa, Sergi Cardona, Albiol, Kiko Femenía, Dani Parejo, Álex Baena, Santi Comesaña, Pape Alassane Gueye, Nicolas Pépé, Thiemo Barry.
Coach: E. Setién Solar.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Real Madrid vs Villarreal match, on 5 October 2024, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy UK, goes to: Both teams score? Yes ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Real Madrid vs Villarreal on 5 October 2024 will be played at Madrid, Estadio Santiago Bernabéu.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy UK, for the Real Madrid Villarreal match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Real Madrid at with 97% of the tips.

 

Primera División - 2024/2025

  • 28% 105 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 44.76%
  • Draws 26.67%
  • Away team wins 28.57%
  • Over 1.5 74.29%
  • Over 2.5 49.52%
  • Over 3.5 22.86%
  • Goals 270
  • Goals /match 2.57
  • Goals /match home 1.48
  • Goals /match away 1.1
  • Both teams score 57.14%
  • Goals after 80' 21.48%
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